Uncertainty remains high on where the moisture will go, but early indications point toward a potentially wet weekend across the Great Smoky Mountains.
- 🌀 Tropical Depression 9 has formed over the southwestern Gulf of America as showers and thunderstorms become better organized.
- 📍 The track remains uncertain. There are significant differences in the forecast guidance on where this system and its moisture will ultimately go.
- 💧 A wet weekend is possible for the Smokies, but it is too early to lock in specific rainfall amounts or timing.
- 📡 We need better model guidance over the next few days before settling on one particular path or forecast scenario.
- 👀 Smokies.LIVE Storm Center is monitoring the system closely and will continue to provide updates as confidence increases.
“Right now, this is a system we’re watching closely, not a forecast we’re locking in. There’s still a lot of uncertainty about where the moisture will ultimately go, and we need a few more rounds of model guidance before we settle on a track. The potential for a wet weekend is there, but the details will become much clearer as this system develops.”
— Kyle Grainger, Smokies.LIVE Meteorologist
Bottom line: Don’t focus on a specific track just yet. The message right now is to monitor. We expect the forecast to become clearer as the system develops and additional data comes in.
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